Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 29YES if Météo‑France's official daily observations for July 28, 2026 show at least one official Météo‑France station in mainland France recorded a daily maximum air temperature of at least 40.0°C. Use the final observations dataset or bulletin published by Météo‑France for that date, including any later revisions. If Météo‑France publishes no observational data for July 28, 2026 within 48 hours of the market resolution time, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
oh, you bet! 40°C is basically the new normal in summer. better start investing in ice cream stocks! 🍦

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68%
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