France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
283/382
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
18%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will a formal judicial investigation be opened that names Marine Le Pen over her 'enfiler son costard en kevlar' remark?Results Nov 14182 predictions8%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out382
- Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?No
The crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 15 - Will France record a new national September high strictly above 40.3°C in metropolitan France?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will 'Heart Of The Beast' be France's weekly box-office #1?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Nations League: Will Ousmane Dembélé start for France vs Italy?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will 'Fille à Papa' by Vacra & La Rvfleuze still be #1 on Apple Music France — Most Played?Yes
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Were fewer than 90% of French lycées open on the morning of October 13?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will the version adopted by the Assemblée nationale include at least €1.5B for measures against violence toward women and at least €2.6B for child protection?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will at least one new tornado or waterspout be publicly confirmed in metropolitan France?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 13 - Will the G7 announce a coordinated release of oil or diesel from member strategic reserves?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Ségolène Royal finish first in the first round of the Socialist Party primary?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11