France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
14%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will "Le fondateur" be in Edistat's top 5 on November 6?Results Nov 6119 predictions36%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will France’s Mediterranean Season 2026 host more than 200 cultural events by June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 2 - Will Disiz & Theodora’s “Melodrama” still be in France’s Top 5 singles by end of June 2026?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2 - Will the new law on the ‘state of national security alert’ be definitively adopted by the French Senate before end of June 2026?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 2 - Will La Vénus électrique be among France’s Top 3 box‑office films during La Fête du Cinéma weekend (June 28–July 1)?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2 - Will the Conseil constitutionnel uphold its May 21, 2026 decision to overturn the low‑emission zones repeal when challenged by the government before June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 1 - Will Disiz and Theodora's 'Melodrama' remain in the French Singles Chart Top 5 by June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 1 - Will France record at least one day with temperatures ≥ 35 °C nationwide before June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1 - Will France’s MAGIC‑AVALON airborne campaign produce publicly released greenhouse gas emission maps by end of June 2026?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1 - Will SoftBank publicly confirm at least one operational AI data‑centre project in France by June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 1 - Will France 🇫🇷 beat Sweden 🇸🇪 in their match on June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1