🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will an El Niño be explicitly declared as occurring?
77%
Stable · last 24h
1135 bets · 39.2K credits12
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ScienceOpened Jun 3 · Results Jun 30
Will France’s MAGIC‑AVALON airborne campaign produce publicly released greenhouse gas emission maps by end of June 2026?
39%
Stable · last 24h
📊 15 bettors💎 685 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jun 30🤖 Context
YES if the consortium publishes publicly accessible emission maps derived from MAGIC‑AVALON campaign measurements by 23:59 UTC on June 30 2026. NO if no such maps are publicly released by then.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 39%
- Predictions made
- 15
- Credits staked
- 685
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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