🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
+42% last 24h
2003 bets · 60.1K credits6
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39%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jun 30YES if the consortium publishes publicly accessible emission maps derived from MAGIC‑AVALON campaign measurements by 23:59 UTC on June 30 2026. NO if no such maps are publicly released by then.
How markets are built and settled39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
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