France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will "Le fondateur" be in Edistat's top 5 on November 6?Results Nov 6119 predictions36%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will Kylian Mbappé 🇫🇷 score the first goal of France 🇫🇷’s match against Paraguay 🇵🇾 on 2026‑07‑04?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 5 - Will France 🇫🇷 reach the quarter‑finals?Yes
The crowd was 96% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 5 - Will a French rider win Stage 1 of the Tour de France 2026 (earn the first yellow jersey)?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 4 - Will France’s monthly industrial production (manufacturing output) increase in May 2026 compared to April 2026?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 4 - Will a French judoka win a gold medal at the 2026 European Judo Championships for Cadets in Gran Canaria?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 3 - Will France’s harmonized (HICP) inflation rate exceed 3.0% in June 2026?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 3 - Will any French crypto-asset service provider (PSAN) fail to obtain MiCA authorization by July 1, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 3 - Will Gabriel Attal finish in the top two in first‑round presidential polling in France by July 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 3 - Will France’s CNIL officially begin enforcing the EU AI Act as France’s main regulator by end of June 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2 - Will France’s 10‑year government bond yield exceed 4.10% on or before June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2