🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 3
Will the SCO leaders' final joint communiqué include the word 'multipolar' or the phrase 'multipolar world'?
92%
+9% last 24h
392 bets · 10.3K credits2
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 3
Will Gabriel Attal finish in the top two in first‑round presidential polling in France by July 1, 2026?
35%
Stable · last 24h
📊 50 bettors💎 1.2K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 3🤖 Context
YES if any reputable poll published by an accredited French or international polling institute before or on July 1 2026 shows Gabriel Attal ranking first or second in first‑round voting intention for the 2027 French presidential election. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 35%
- Predictions made
- 50
- Credits staked
- 1,226
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 25, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 2, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- ifop.com, sondages-populaires.org, lcp.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
No comments yet. Start the conversation!
Related predictions
See all →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 2 · Results Sep 6
Will Russian forces launch air, missile, or armed-drone strikes that hit locations inside internationally recognized Ukrainian territory?
86%
Stable · last 24h
121 bets · 3.5K credits1
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
63%
Stable · last 24h
42 bets · 1.2K credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will the HHS directive on medical care for transgender youth be blocked nationwide?
40%
Stable · last 24h
2 bets · 35 credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Nov 1 · Results Nov 15
Will the USPS's new ballot-handling rules be stopped nationwide?
63%
Stable · last 24h
2 bets · 20 credits1
Details →📊Politics·PollsCloses Sep 16 · Results Sep 17
Will Rick Jackson lead Keisha Lance Bottoms in the latest Georgia governor poll?
21%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 127 credits1
Details →