France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
288/388
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
16%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will 'Egalité et Réconciliation' be dissolved by decree?Closes Nov 30119 predictions36%Yes
- Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 198 predictions22%Yes
- Will an official date be announced for new municipal elections in Noisy‑le‑Sec?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 186 predictions73%Yes
- Will deputy José Beaurain be placed 'mis en examen' (placed under formal judicial investigation) for alleged diversion of public funds?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 246 predictions27%Yes
- Will Zinedine Zidane still be the France men's head coach on October 28?Results Oct 282514 predictions99%Yes
- Will "Fille à Papa" by Vacra & La Rvfleuze be #1 on Apple Music France on October 28?Results Oct 28414 predictions64%Yes
- Will an interim order suspend enforcement of the Lyon court's annulment of the Vénissieux municipal election?Results Oct 28331 predictions16%Yes
- Will France proceed with merging Paris and its Petite Couronne into a single Greater Paris metropolis by end of 2026?Results Dec 31326 predictions27%Yes
- Will any metropolitan French département, coastal area, or the national 'FRANCE' map be at Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for 'vagues‑submersion' (coastal flooding) on October 27?Results Oct 28275 predictions19%Yes
- Will 'Le casse du siècle' by Sarah Knafo be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France ranking?Results Oct 30274 predictions28%Yes
- Will a formal judicial investigation be opened that names Marine Le Pen over her 'enfiler son costard en kevlar' remark?Results Nov 14182 predictions8%Yes
- Will 'Chere debbie' by Freida McFadden and Laura Bourgeois be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France on November 6?Results Nov 6143 predictions67%Yes
How it turned out388
- Will the bill 'proposition de loi apportant une réponse intégrale au phénomène des violences sexuelles et sexistes contre les femmes et les enfants' be debated in the National Assembly chamber on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Article 30 require a mandatory annual individual interview for every child on October 1?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will the PS / Parti socialiste – Place publique primary debate be broadcast live on France 2 and France Inter in the early evening on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll-up be on Météo‑France orange or red for thunderstorms on October 1?No
The crowd was 89% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 2 - Will Gérard Larcher be elected President of the French Senate on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will France google Lucie Bernardoni more than Jean‑Luc Reichmann on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 2 - Will Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu present the government's draft 2027 finance bill to the National Assembly?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the EKOI Perf R4 cycling shoe cost €120 or less on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will 'Le casse du siecle' by Sarah Knafo be #1 on Edistat on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the draft 2027 budget be presented to the Conseil des ministres?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1