🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 9 · Results Oct 10
Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?
12%
Stable · last 24h
501 bets · 18K credits7
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PoliticsOpened Sep 24 · Results Oct 1
Will the draft 2027 budget be presented to the Conseil des ministres?
35%
Stable · last 24h
📊 744 bettors💎 29.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 1🤖 Context
YES if the French government formally presents (tables) the draft 'projet de loi de finances pour 2027' to the Conseil des ministres no later than September 30, 2026. 'Formally presents' means the draft bill text was placed on the Conseil des ministres agenda and/or the government published the draft PLF text that was circulated to institutions. Resolution evidence is either the government's communiqué or the Assemblée nationale bill register showing the draft PLF was published or placed on the Conseil des ministres agenda, or credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets stating the draft PLF was presented to the Conseil des ministres. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The condition was very specific: YES only if the PLF 2027 was formally presented to the Council of Ministers no later than September 30, 2026. However, available sources show that the presentation was scheduled and then carried out on Thursday, October 1, 2026, which is one day after the deadline.
Source: www2.assemblee-nationale.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 35%
- Predictions made
- 744
- Credits staked
- 29,696
- Comments
- 13
- Opened
- Sep 24, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 29, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- www2.assemblee-nationale.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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