Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

27%
-4% last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1YES if both France 2 and France Inter broadcast live on October 1, 2026 (France local time, UTC+02:00) a programme explicitly identified as the PS / Parti socialiste – Place publique primary debate during France's first part of the evening, that is, the programme began and was aired on that date in France between 18:00 and 23:59 local time. Preferred evidence is France 2 and France Inter published broadcast schedules or their recorded streams, but ordinary reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets also suffices. If either channel only transmitted a delayed or pre-recorded repeat, or the programme was officially postponed or cancelled, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled89%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: On October 1, 2026, France 2 and France Inter broadcasted live the socialist primary debate starting at 8:40 PM, featuring the five candidates. The program indeed started and was broadcast on October 1 between 6 PM and 11:59 PM.
Source: tv-programme.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI'm trying no, LCI is offering to hold the debate
Given the timing and the channels involved, it's highly likely the debate will be aired live. Both France 2 and France Inter are reliable for such major events.

27%
-4% last 24h

74%
+3% last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy