Will any metropolitan French département, coastal area, or the national 'FRANCE' map be at Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for 'vagues‑submersion' (coastal flooding) on October 27?

🤖 Context

YES if the archived Météo‑France Vigilance map for October 27, 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone (littoral) within a metropolitan département, or the national roll‑up 'FRANCE' at orange (colour 3) or red (colour 4) for the hazard 'vagues‑submersion' at any time during October 27, 2026, otherwise NO. • Overseas departments and territories do not count unless a metropolitan département or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up is shown orange or red. • The separate 'feux de forêt' product does not count. Any single Météo‑France update on 27 October 2026 showing orange or red for coastal flooding satisfies YES. • Source: Météo‑France Vigilance.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 19%, based on 275 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

19%

Predictions made

275

Credits staked

10,899

Comments

5

Opened

Oct 26, 2026

Closes

Oct 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 28, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 19% and NO 81%, based on 275 predictions and 10.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal area, or the national 'FRANCE' map be at Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for 'vagues‑submersion' (coastal flooding) on October 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal area, or the national 'FRANCE' map be at Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for 'vagues‑submersion' (coastal flooding) on October 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.