Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if no later than November 30, 2026, two or more independent mainstream news outlets report that the Parti Socialiste has publicly amended or announced the PS–Place publique primary rules so that both Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin are explicitly eligible to stand. A direct Parti Socialiste press release or published amended rules stating this also counts. If there are only generic statements about "opening" the primary without explicitly naming or declaring those two eligible, or if no such reports or announcements appear, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 30 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

30

Credits staked

782

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 30 predictions and 782 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.