France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
291/391
right calls
50
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions50
- Will an official national tribute ('hommage national') be held for the victims of the Trappes attack?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5165 predictions82%Yes
- Will France publish a national autism strategy?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1164 predictions34%Yes
- Will Edouard Philippe meet Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau and François Bayrou together in one meeting?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 1151 predictions47%Yes
- Will 'Egalité et Réconciliation' be dissolved by decree?Closes Nov 30119 predictions36%Yes
- Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 198 predictions22%Yes
- Will an official date be announced for new municipal elections in Noisy‑le‑Sec?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 186 predictions73%Yes
- Will deputy José Beaurain be placed 'mis en examen' (placed under formal judicial investigation) for alleged diversion of public funds?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 277 predictions37%Yes
- Will Zinedine Zidane still be the France men's head coach on October 28?Awaiting result2510 predictions99%Yes
- Will a government-led Article 50-1 debate on the future of Parcoursup start in the Assembly hemicycle on October 28?Awaiting result715 predictions94%Yes
- Will France proceed with merging Paris and its Petite Couronne into a single Greater Paris metropolis by end of 2026?Results Dec 31326 predictions27%Yes
- Will 'Le casse du siècle' by Sarah Knafo be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France ranking?Results Oct 30274 predictions28%Yes
- Will a formal judicial investigation be opened that names Marine Le Pen over her 'enfiler son costard en kevlar' remark?Results Nov 14182 predictions8%Yes
How it turned out391
- Will a tornado touch down in metropolitan France?No
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 18 - Will any French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll‑up be on orange or red alert for thunderstorms on September 17?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 18 - Will Le diner by Freida McFadden and Karine Xaragai be #1 on the Edistat best-seller list?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be France's box-office #1 by admissions?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll-up be orange or red for thunderstorms on 16 September?No
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will France google Lady Gaga more than Monica Bellucci on September 16?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will the trial of Rachida Dati and Carlos Ghosn be postponed on 16 September?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 16 - Will energy-sector groups stage a protest, rally, or strike in France on September 15?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 16 - Will French police unions call a nationwide mobilization on September 15?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 15 - Will France google Cyril Féraud more than Lady Gaga on September 14?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 15