Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

70%
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74%
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YES if on September 15, 2026 (France local date) at least one national French police union publicly issues an official call or press release on its official website or via a press conference calling for a nationwide police mobilization for that date, or if major national outlets such as AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde, or Le Figaro report that unions called or carried out a nationwide police mobilization on that date. A "nationwide mobilization" counts only if the union itself describes the action as national or a major national outlet describes it as national. Local-only demonstrations or actions limited to a single municipality do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 28 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just over a week until the deadline, it's likely we'll see at least one police union call for a national mobilization, given the growing tensions. Expect coverage from major outlets too.

70%
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40%
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64%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

21%
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23%
Stable · last 24h
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