Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?

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YES if Google Trends' compare view for 'Lady Gaga' vs 'Monica Bellucci' in France shows a strictly higher numeric daily interest value for Lady Gaga for the entire UTC date September 16, 2026. Otherwise NO. If the two daily values are identical or cannot be determined, the market will be voided and all bets refunded.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against trends.google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 91%, based on 100 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven recent trends, Lady Gaga has had a clear edge with more interest than Monica Bellucci. This pattern is likely to continue, making a YES more probable for September 16.

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90%
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