France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
291/391
right calls
50
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions50
- Will Édouard Philippe publicly commit to take part in a right/centre primary for France's 2027 presidential election?Closes Dec 31286 predictions44%Yes
- Will Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez be summoned to appear in a public session or a closed hearing?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1276 predictions43%Yes
- Will Bally Bagayoko be formally charged over alleged incitement linked to lycée blockages?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 2273 predictions31%Yes
- Will right‑and‑centre parties announce and set a joint primary date to pick one 2027 presidential candidate?Closes Dec 24 · Results Dec 26270 predictions14%Yes
- Will any police officer be formally charged over the Marseille incident where a student was hurt in a CRS charge?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1264 predictions62%Yes
- Will the Senate‑amended 'casseurs‑payeurs' bill be formally transmitted to the Conseil d'État?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5250 predictions64%Yes
- Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?Closes Nov 1 · Results Nov 2240 predictions29%Yes
- Will the maximum temperature in metropolitan France reach at least 23.0 °C on October 31?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 1212 predictions21%Yes
- Will France allocate at least €50,000,000 to "communes rurales"?Closes Nov 30198 predictions41%Yes
- Will "Fille à Papa" by Vacra & La Rvfleuze be the #1 song on Apple Music France's Most Played chart?Closes Nov 2 · Results Nov 4197 predictions88%Yes
- Will the Switch 2 'The Legend of Zelda' 40th‑anniversary limited edition be listed for sale or pre‑order in France?Closes Nov 30189 predictions93%Yes
- Will the Assemblée nationale's commission d'enquête hold its first public hearing?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16184 predictions41%Yes
How it turned out391
- Will a new Garmin Edge Explore 2 be listed for €300 or less on September 10?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will France google Jimmy Mohamed more than Sylvie Tellier on September 12?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 13 - Will any tornado be officially confirmed in metropolitan France?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 11 - Will José Beaurain file a formal criminal complaint over the reported allegations?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 11 - Will 'Tombé du ciel' be France's weekly box-office #1?No
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 10 - Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Will any metropolitan French department, coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' roll‑up be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for a heatwave on September 8?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 9 - Will Dorian Louvet still be in Koh-Lanta All Stars after the episode on September 8?Yes
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Will Laure Canevarolo still be competing in Koh-Lanta All Stars on September 8?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Koh-Lanta: Will Naoil still be competing on September 8?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 8