Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

90%
-1% last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 7YES if, for an event that occurred no later than September 6, 2026 (inclusive), Météo‑France, the prefecture of the department where the event happened, or France’s national civil‑protection authority publishes an official confirmation that a tornado occurred in metropolitan France, otherwise NO. Official confirmations include bulletins, post‑event surveys, or official statements, and unconfirmed eyewitness or social media reports and reports using only speculative language do not count. If an event is later reclassified or retracted the final official statement from Météo‑France, or if absent the relevant prefecture, determines the result.
How markets are built and settled31%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.

90%
-1% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h

93%
+4% last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h
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