Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?

🤖 Context

YES if, between August 30, 2026 and September 1, 2026 inclusive, at least one tornado touchdown in metropolitan France is publicly confirmed by Météo-France or by the prefecture of the affected department, or is reported as a confirmed tornado by at least two independent reputable news organisations (for example AFP, Reuters, France24, Le Monde) no later than September 1, 2026. A "tornado touchdown" means the vortex is confirmed to have made contact with the ground, funnel cloud sightings alone do not count. If an event is initially reported as a tornado but is explicitly reclassified by Météo-France or the prefecture as not a tornado before September 1, 2026, that reclassification determines the outcome.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

202

Credits staked

5,946

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Resolved

Sep 9, 2026

Outcome

No