Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?

🤖 Context

YES if, between August 30, 2026 and September 1, 2026 inclusive, at least one tornado touchdown in metropolitan France is publicly confirmed by Météo-France or by the prefecture of the affected department, or is reported as a confirmed tornado by at least two independent reputable news organisations (for example AFP, Reuters, France24, Le Monde) no later than September 1, 2026. A "tornado touchdown" means the vortex is confirmed to have made contact with the ground, funnel cloud sightings alone do not count. If an event is initially reported as a tornado but is explicitly reclassified by Météo-France or the prefecture as not a tornado before September 1, 2026, that reclassification determines the outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 69 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

29%

Predictions made

69

Credits staked

2,109

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 29% and NO 71%, based on 69 predictions and 2.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.