Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?

🤖 Context

YES if, between October 18, 2026 and no later than November 1, 2026, any government of an EU member state publicly announces (in an official statement from that country's foreign ministry, head of government, or equivalent) that it has recalled or temporarily withdrawn its ambassador to Israel or has formally suspended diplomatic relations with Israel. Otherwise NO. • A formal "recall" or a "temporary withdrawal for consultations" counts. Mere condemnations, expressions of concern, calls for investigation, or reductions in visits do not count. • Credible reporting of the action by two or more independent authoritative news outlets also suffices to resolve YES. • Source: an official statement from the recalling country's foreign ministry, head of government, or equivalent, or credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 233 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

233

Credits staked

7,488

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 18, 2026

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 2, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 233 predictions and 7.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.