📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?
71%
Stable · last 24h
466 bets · 16.3K credits5
Details →Ceuta
Live prediction markets about Ceuta. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
60%
crowd accuracy
27/45
right calls
4
open questions
Biggest miss
Will an official number be published for how many people entered Ceuta during the mass arrival?
YesThe crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 14
71%
Yes
Open questions4
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Ceuta be put under a formal national emergency?
62%
Stable · last 24h
441 bets · 9.1K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will a judge in Ceuta open a formal investigation into unaccompanied migrant minors' complaints of mistreatment in reception centres?
54%
Stable · last 24h
419 bets · 7K credits1
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 18
Will Spain's Defence Ministry send a formal written reply to Judge María Tardón about whether Moroccan military ships entered Spanish waters off Ceuta?
71%
+1% last 24h
15 bets · 581 credits1
Details →How it turned out45
- Will Juan Jesús Vivas meet in person in Brussels on September 8 with Magnus Brunner, Dubravka Šuica and Roberta Metsola to discuss the Ceuta migration crisis?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 8 - Will Ceuta's sports centres be removed from official lists of migrant reception sites?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 8 - Are at least 10,000 migrants still in Ceuta?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 5 - Will Spain's Council of Ministers approve an urgent €168,000,000 aid package for Ceuta on September 1?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will six Spanish government ministers personally appear in Congress to address the mass irregular entry in Ceuta?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 3 - Will public concentrations called by the FEMP in support of Ceuta take place in at least three Spanish provincial capitals on September 2?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will a public demonstration in support of Ceuta take place at Plaza de Cibeles in Madrid on September 2?Yes
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 2 - Will a new official migrant reception centre or formally designated reception space open in Ceuta?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 30 - Will Spain relocate at least 500 female migrant minors from Ceuta to the Spanish mainland?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 28 - Will extra Guardia Civil or National Police reinforcements be sent to Ceuta?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 27