Will Spain's Defence Ministry send a formal written reply to Judge María Tardón about whether Moroccan military ships entered Spanish waters off Ceuta?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than November 18, 2026, two or more independent Spanish or international news outlets report that Spain's Defence Ministry filed with the Audiencia Nacional (or transmitted to Judge María Tardón) a formal written response that directly affirms, denies, or formally declines to answer whether Moroccan military vessels entered Spanish territorial waters adjacent to Ceuta between July 29, 2026 and August 10, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The written response must directly address the judge's question and be filed in the court registry or transmitted to Judge María Tardón. • Informal leaks or uncorroborated claims do not count. Two or more independent outlets are required. • Source: independent Spanish or international news outlets; Audiencia Nacional; Ministerio de Defensa.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 15 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

15

Credits staked

581

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 21, 2026

Closes

Nov 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 18, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 15 predictions and 581 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Spain's Defence Ministry send a formal written reply to Judge María Tardón about whether Moroccan military ships entered Spanish waters off Ceuta?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Spain's Defence Ministry send a formal written reply to Judge María Tardón about whether Moroccan military ships entered Spanish waters off Ceuta?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.