Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than August 30, 2026, six different serving members of the Government of Spain personally gave formal oral appearances (comparecencias) in the Plenary of the Congreso de los Diputados or in an official Congreso committee session, and the stated subject of each appearance was the mass irregular entry in Ceuta. This can be shown by the Congreso de los Diputados' published schedule or minutes, by official government communications, or by credible reporting from at least two independent Spanish national news outlets that explicitly identify the six ministers. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

10%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h

54%
-6% last 24h

46%
+17% last 24h

24%
-1% last 24h

28%
-5% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy