Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 6The market required that, by September 5, 2026, the central Government publish an explicit official change, such as a decree, ministerial order or BOE entry, removing sports centres (polideportivos) in the autonomous city of Ceuta from any public official list or registry of facilities eligible to house migrants. The BOE published Royal Decree 706/2026, adopted September 1, 2026 and published in the BOE on September 2, 2026, which modifies Royal Decree 681/2026 and explicitly states that polideportivos in Ceuta are not included in the annexes that list capacities to be used during the situation of interest for National Security. Because that BOE entry is an explicit central government modification removing Ceuta’s sports centres from the official annexed list and it was published before the September 5 deadline, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: - Premise (BOE-A-2026-18430): The official Royal Decree 706/2026 (adopted 2026-09-01, published in BOE on 2026-09-02) modifies Royal Decree 681/2026 and explicitly states: “La identificación de espacios alternativos… hace posible la no utilización, y por tanto la no inclusión en los anexos que recogen las capacidades a utilizar durante la situación de interés para la Seguridad Nacional, de los polideportivos…” (and some Defence lands). → This is an explicit central-government modification stating that sports centres (polideportivos) in Ceuta are not included in the annexed list of capacities/spaces to be used during the crisis, i.e., they are removed from that official list. - Premise (EFE, 2026-08-26): Reports that the decree published that day in the BOE had listed Ceuta’s sports centres among spaces eligible to house migrants. → Confirms that the BOE annexes functioned as a publicly available official list of designated facilities. - Premise (BOE-A-2026-18430 metadata): The modification was published in the BOE on 2026-09-02. → It occurred by the question’s deadline (2026-09-05). Conclusion: The central Government did publish, by 2026-09-05, an explicit official modification in the BOE that removes Ceuta’s sports centres from the publicly available official list of facilities designated as eligible to house migrants.
Source: boe.esSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the deadline is tight and no official modification has been published yet, I doubt they'll remove the sports centres in time. Expect a NO.

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