Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

73%
+2% last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 5, 2026, the central Government publishes an explicit official modification (decree, ministerial order, BOE entry or equivalent central‑government document) that removes sports centres (polideportivos) located in the autonomous city of Ceuta from any publicly available official list or registry of facilities designated as eligible to house migrants. Credible reporting of such a published modification by two or more independent Spanish national news outlets (for example EFE, El País, RTVE) or the central Government's official publication is sufficient to resolve YES. Public statements of intent without any change to an official list or document by the deadline count as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the deadline is tight and no official modification has been published yet, I doubt they'll remove the sports centres in time. Expect a NO.

73%
+2% last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

66%
+5% last 24h
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