Will extra Guardia Civil or National Police reinforcements be sent to Ceuta?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 26, 2026, two or more independent Spanish news outlets report that the Gobierno de España announced and that at least one additional state security contingent (described as reinforcements of the Guardia Civil, National Police Corps, or other state security units) was sent to and has arrived in Ceuta. Announcements of intent, calls for action, or union demands without a reported government announcement plus a reported arrival do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 7 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

37%

Predictions made

7

Credits staked

180

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 37% and NO 63%, based on 7 predictions and 180 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will extra Guardia Civil or National Police reinforcements be sent to Ceuta?” real-money betting?

No. “Will extra Guardia Civil or National Police reinforcements be sent to Ceuta?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.