🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
68%
+14% last 24h
1349 bets · 49.9K credits28
Details →SpaceX
When is Starship's next launch?
On September 28, 2026, on its 14th flight test, Starship reached orbit for the first time and released 26 Starlink V3 satellites. The 13 flights before it were all suborbital. Two years earlier, on Flight 5, the launch tower's arms caught the Super Heavy booster for the first time. Next up: more flights, more catches, and a lunar lander version for NASA. On Clutch you predict YES or NO on each launch and milestone, and see what the crowd thinks, live.
70%
crowd accuracy
62/88
right calls
8
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the Falcon 9 mission T1TL‑A place its SDA satellites into Earth orbit?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 26
68%
Yes
Open questions8
🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will SpaceX make at least one Starship orbital launch attempt that achieves vertical liftoff?
62%
Stable · last 24h
1029 bets · 35.5K credits15
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will Falcon 9 booster B10893 touch down on and be recovered from droneship Of Course I Still Love You after the Starlink 15-18 launch?
38%
-3% last 24h
433 bets · 16.7K credits4
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🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15‑18 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) on October 29?
89%
Stable · last 24h
323 bets · 12.7K credits5
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Dec 1
Will SpaceX attempt to recover both the Super Heavy booster and the Starship orbital vehicle?
82%
Stable · last 24h
224 bets · 7.7K credits3
Details →- Will the Falcon 9 mission 'Starlink 15-16' place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into the planned low Earth orbit?Results Oct 29166 predictions88%Yes
- Will SpaceX launch Crew-13 (Crew Dragon 'Grace') to the ISS from SLC-40?Results Nov 1112 predictions72%Yes
- Will Crew-13's Crew Dragon 'Grace' launch to the ISS?Results Nov 197 predictions79%Yes
How it turned out88
- Will the Starship flight SpaceX identifies as its 13th test flight perform the horizontal "belly‑flop" reentry (a near‑horizontal attitude used to slow by aerodynamic drag) on or before August 1, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2 - Will SpaceX be added to a major US equity index (e.g., S&P 500 or Nasdaq‑100) by July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2 - Will SpaceX's Starship Flight 13 launch successfully on July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 31 - Will the 13th Starship flight reach Earth orbit?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 27 - Will SpaceX's Starship Flight 13 achieve a successful controlled splashdown on July 15, 2026?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 17 - Will SpaceX complete its IPO and begin trading on Nasdaq by June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2 - Will SpaceX's Starship Flight 13 launch successfully on June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 30 - Will SpaceX’s next‑generation Starship (V3) successfully reach space and complete its maiden flight on or before May 22, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
May 23
Questions about SpaceX
When did Starship first reach orbit?
On September 28, 2026, on Flight 14, when it also deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites. The first integrated Starship flight took place on April 20, 2023, and every flight before Flight 14 was suborbital.
Where does Starship launch from?
From Starbase, SpaceX's site and headquarters in South Texas. SpaceX is also building Starship launch pads in Florida.
Is SpaceX a public company?
Yes. SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq on June 12, 2026, under the ticker SPCX. Earlier that year, on February 2, 2026, it acquired xAI.
Who founded SpaceX?
Elon Musk, in 2002. The company builds the Falcon 9 and Starship rockets, Dragon spacecraft and the Starlink satellite network.