🔬Science
Closes Aug 14 · Results Aug 16
Will total area burned by wildfires in Europe in 2026 exceed 500,000 hectares?

91%
+1% last 24h
2057 bets · 54.1K credits6
Details →
59%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 31This market will resolve to 'YES' if SpaceX's Starship Flight 13 launches successfully on July 31, 2026, and to 'NO' if it does not. The launch is scheduled to take place at SpaceX's Starbase facility in Texas.
How markets are built and settled59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
He tried twice, but he succeeded!
Perfect 👍
Will SpaceX's Starship Flight 13 successfully launch on July 31, 2026?
Safe bet because the flight has already taken off

91%
+1% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
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