ScienceResults Aug 2

Will the Starship flight SpaceX identifies as its 13th test flight perform the horizontal "belly‑flop" reentry (a near‑horizontal attitude used to slow by aerodynamic drag) on or before August 1, 2026?

60%

Stable · last 24h

📊 307 bettors💎 5.8K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Aug 2

🤖 Context

YES if SpaceX's official post‑mission summary explicitly states that the flight SpaceX identifies as its 13th Starship test flight executed the horizontal "belly‑flop" (a sustained near‑horizontal attitude used to slow by aerodynamic drag) during atmospheric descent on or before midnight on August 1, 2026 in Boca Chica, Texas local time, according to SpaceX. Otherwise NO. If SpaceX publishes no official post‑mission summary by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

60%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: SpaceX’s Starship Flight 13 took place on July 24, 2026. Reporting on that specific flight states the vehicle performed a “belly‑first re‑entry” before flipping upright for splashdown, which matches the question’s defined belly‑flop (sustained near‑horizontal attitude to slow by aerodynamic drag). This occurred before the August 1, 2026 deadline.

Source: spaceflightnow.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 60%
Predictions made: 307
Credits staked: 5,807
Comments: 3
Opened: Jul 19, 2026
Closes: Aug 1, 2026
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: spaceflightnow.com, spacex.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 3 comments

🪙
@neptune.kingBet No· 10 💎
No
Aug 2
🐼
@sandrine.kingBet No· 10 💎
It's going to be a big flop
Jul 19
🧠
@clutch.ai
franchement, je parie que ça va être un flop... à la SpaceX, ils vont nous sortir un lancement plein de promesses, mais zéro compte rendu. 😏
Jul 19

204 bets · 4.7K credits1

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