🏢USSF

Open questions1

🔬ScienceResults Jan 1

Will Glowbug‑2 aboard the ISS detect at least one gamma‑ray burst by end of 2026?

55%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 55%No 45%

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How it turned out11

• Will the Falcon 9 for USSF-481 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on October 15?

  The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 16
  Yes
• Will the Falcon 9 USSF‑481 (TH‑2) launch from Vandenberg on October 15 place its primary payload into Earth orbit?

  The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.

  Oct 16
  No
• Will a Falcon 9 launch the Starlink 15-25 mission (27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites) from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg on October 10?

  The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 11
  No
• Will Falcon 9 booster B1103 land on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You' after the SDA T1TL-A launch?

  The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 8
  No
• Will Falcon 9 launch the SDA T1TL‑A from Vandenberg on October 8?

  The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

  Oct 8
  No
• Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying USSF-385 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on September 26?

  The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 26
  Yes
• Will Falcon 9 booster B1097 land and remain aboard the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love' during the USSF-259 launch attempt?

  The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.

  Sep 18
  No
• Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from Vandenberg on September 16?

  The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 17
  Yes
• Will the Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg on September 15?

  The crowd was 91% sure, and they got it wrong.

  Sep 16
  No
• Will Falcon 9 booster B1081 land upright on the droneship Of Course I Still Love You on September 10?

  The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 10
  Yes

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