🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15‑18 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) on October 29?
88%
-1% last 24h
370 bets · 14.4K credits5
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Live prediction markets about SLC-4E. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
59%
crowd accuracy
16/27
right calls
3
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg on September 15?
NoThe crowd was 91% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15‑18 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) on October 29?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 27
88%
Yes
Open questions3
🚀Science·SpaceCloses Nov 5
Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 (Starlink 15‑21) launch from Vandenberg SLC‑4E and deploy 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
59%
Stable · last 24h
216 bets · 10.1K credits2
Details →🚀Science·SpaceAwaiting result
Will the Falcon 9 mission 'Starlink 15-16' place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into the planned low Earth orbit?
88%
Stable · last 24h
165 bets · 6.7K credits1
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How it turned out27
- Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 lift off from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg for Starlink 15-16 on October 26?Yes
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 27 - Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 (Starlink 15-15) launch from Vandenberg and deploy 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites on October 23?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 24 - Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 (Starlink 15-15, booster B1063) lift off from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg on October 21?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 22 - Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15-15 lift off from SLC-4E?No
The crowd was 90% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will Falcon 9 booster B1063 land successfully on the droneship Of Course I Still Love You on October 20?No
The crowd was 85% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will the Falcon 9 for USSF-481 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on October 15?Yes
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will the Falcon 9 USSF‑481 (TH‑2) launch from Vandenberg on October 15 place its primary payload into Earth orbit?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 16 - Will Falcon 9 launch Starlink 15-25 (27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites) from Vandenberg on October 12?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) for Starlink 15‑25 on Oct 12?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 13 - Will SpaceX's Starlink 15-25 Falcon 9 lift off from Vandenberg SLC-4E on October 12?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 13