🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
80%
+40% last 24h
2450 bets · 76.2K credits8
Details →
ScienceResults May 23
Will SpaceX’s next‑generation Starship (V3) successfully reach space and complete its maiden flight on or before May 22, 2026?
47%
Stable · last 24h
📊 1 bettor💎 7 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results May 23🤖 Context
YES if SpaceX’s next‑generation Starship (V3) launch, scheduled as early as May 19, 2026, successfully reaches space and completes its maiden flight by 22 May 2026 UTC. NO if it fails to reach space or does not complete the flight by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes47%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 47%
- Predictions made
- 1
- Credits staked
- 7
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 15, 2026
- Closes
- May 22, 2026
- Resolved
- May 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
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