🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 16
Will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?
40%
-1% last 24h
166 bets · 7K credits3
Details →Kalshi
Live prediction markets about Kalshi. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
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right calls
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open questions
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Will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?
The crowd's YES odds since Nov 3
40%
Yes
Open questions5
🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 11
Will the open-weights share of token volume be above 59.6% on November 10?
81%
+12% last 24h
98 bets · 3.2K credits1
Details →🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 12
Will the open-weights share (Open vs. Closed Token Volume) on Nov 11, 2026 be above 59.9%?
74%
+2% last 24h
74 bets · 2.4K credits1
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🎭Culture·Pop cultureAwaiting result
Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?
59%
+3% last 24h
859 bets · 33.3K credits5
Details →🎭Culture·Pop cultureAwaiting result
Will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 on the Billboard 200?
68%
Stable · last 24h
5 bets · 162 credits1
Details →How it turned out8
- Will OpenRouter's token usage be above 205T tokens?Yes
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 10 - Will OpenRouter's token usage for Nov 2–8, 2026 be above 210T tokens?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 10 - Will the open-weight share of Open vs Closed token volume be above 64.9% on Nov 8?Yes
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 9 - Will Moonshot AI's share of Vercel AI Gateway spend across the top labs be above 7.8% on Nov 6?Yes
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 8 - Will Anthropic's share of Vercel AI Gateway spend across the top labs be above 39.5% on Nov 6?Yes
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 8 - Will the open-weights share of open vs closed token volume be above 62.3% on Nov 5?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 6 - Will OpenRouter's token usage exceed 190 trillion tokens?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 3 - Will Anthropic's Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs on Oct 30 be above 37.3%?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Nov 1