TechOpened Nov 4 · Results Nov 9

Will OpenRouter's token usage be above 205T tokens?

85%

Stable · last 24h

📊 133 bettors💎 5.1K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Nov 9

🤖 Context

The rule required Kalshi to finalize its market for OpenRouter token usage being above 205T for the seven UTC days Nov 2–8, 2026, as read at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 9, 2026. Kalshi finalized that market and published an official yes for OpenRouter's reported token usage over the Nov 2–8, 2026 UTC window when checked at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 9, 2026. Because the rule called for an official yes from Kalshi and Kalshi issued one, the market resolves to yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

85%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi market KXTOKENUSE-26NOV09-T205 must be finalized by Kalshi with an official YES result that OpenRouter token usage for Nov 2–8, 2026 was above 205T tokens. Target/window: the seven UTC calendar days Nov 2–8, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 9, 2026 (the measurement the Kalshi market resolves on). Observed value(s): Kalshi exact-ticker data for KXTOKENUSE-26NOV09-T205 shows Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the rule requires Kalshi to mark the ticker finalized with an official YES; the supplied Kalshi data shows exactly that, so the market resolves YES.

Source: kalshi.com