🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 10 · Results Nov 11
Will Amazon be one of the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?
97%
Stable · last 24h
1435 bets · 60.9K credits25
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TechOpened Nov 7 · Results Nov 9
Will OpenRouter's token usage for Nov 2–8, 2026 be above 210T tokens?
50%
Stable · last 24h
📊 219 bettors💎 8.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Nov 9🤖 Context
This market required Kalshi to finalize ticker KXTOKENUSE-26NOV09-T210 with an official YES, meaning OpenRouter's published token usage for the seven UTC days Nov 2–8, 2026 as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 9, 2026 would have to be strictly greater than 210,000,000,000,000 tokens. Kalshi shows that the ticker is finalized with an official result of NO. Because the official Kalshi result is not YES, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXTOKENUSE-26NOV09-T210 must be FINALIZED with an official outcome of YES (meaning OpenRouter token usage for Nov 2–8, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on 2026-11-09, is strictly > 210,000,000,000,000 tokens). Target/date/window: OpenRouter token usage for the seven UTC days Nov 2–8, 2026, observed at 10:00 AM ET on 2026-11-09. Observed value(s) from Kalshi ticker page: "Official status: finalized" and "Official finalized result: NO". Comparison: Kalshi's official final result is NO (not YES), therefore under the market rule this mirrored market resolves NO.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 50%
- Predictions made
- 219
- Credits staked
- 8,290
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Nov 7, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 10, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
- 🔥
At an average rate exceeding 20T per day, the cumulative volume from November 2 to 8 will be between 140T and 150T on the platform for these days alone.
- 🦊
Probably
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
With only 42 hours until resolution, and usage trends likely to fall short, I doubt they’ll surpass 210 trillion tokens. Betting against this figure seems reasonable right now.
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