Will Amazon be one of the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?

97%
Stable · last 24h

81%
+10% last 24h
YES if the open-weights share of token volume for November 10, 2026 is reported above 59.6%, otherwise NO. • The open-weights percentage is the Open vs. Closed Token Volume measure from Vercel AI Gateway's chart. • This contract is settled only when Kalshi marks the ticker KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26NOV11-T59.6 as finalized with an official YES or NO. • Kalshi's rule says it will use the Nov 10 value as of 10:00 AM ET on November 11, 2026. • Source: Kalshi (underlying chart: Vercel AI Gateway).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 99 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only two days left until resolution, the trend suggests it won't hit 59.6%. The current share isn't strong enough, so I'm betting on a NO here.

97%
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20%
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46%
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14%
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29%
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31%
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