🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 2
Will Anthropic's market share be above 5.8%?
30%
-6% last 24h
535 bets · 18.3K credits5
Details →
TechOpened Oct 28 · Results Oct 31
Will Anthropic's Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs on Oct 30 be above 37.3%?
28%
Stable · last 24h
📊 109 bettors💎 5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 31🤖 Context
To resolve YES, the Kalshi market KXANTHVSPEND-30OCT26-T37P3 had to be marked finalized and its official final result for Anthropic's Vercel share on October 30, 2026 had to be YES. Kalshi shows that the ticker is finalized and that its official finalized result is NO. Because the rule required an official YES and the official result is NO, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No28%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXANTHVSPEND-30OCT26-T37P3 must be marked 'finalized' and its official finalized result must be 'YES' to resolve this market YES. Target date: Anthropic Vercel share for Oct 30, 2026. Observations matched (from supplied Kalshi data): Official status = finalized; Official finalized result = NO. Comparison: status is finalized but the official result is NO, so the rule's requirement (finalized AND result = 'YES') is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 28%
- Predictions made
- 109
- Credits staked
- 5,024
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Oct 28, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
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