The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 31Claude
PersonBig Tech
Live prediction markets about Claude. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
80%
of calls the crowd got right
5
markets settled
The crowd called 4 of 5 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.
How it turned out
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 31Will Claude be the #1 model on LM Arena's 'Code' Webdev leaderboard at 10:00 AM ET on July 27, 2026?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 27