Will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?

🤖 Context

YES if Anthropic publicly releases a Claude model whose official name or model identifier includes "Opus" and designates version 5.6 (or higher) no later than 00:00 on November 16, 2026, otherwise NO. • Only releases published on or after November 3, 2026 count. • Invite-only or closed beta releases do not count. Releases limited to a paid subscription do count. • Source: Kalshi and Anthropic.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 166 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

40%

Predictions made

166

Credits staked

7,009

Comments

3

Opened

Nov 3, 2026

Closes

Nov 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 40% and NO 60%, based on 166 predictions and 7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.