🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 10 · Results Nov 11
Will Amazon be one of the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?
97%
Stable · last 24h
1435 bets · 60.9K credits25
Details →
TechOpened Nov 5 · Results Nov 7
Will Anthropic's share of Vercel AI Gateway spend across the top labs be above 39.5% on Nov 6?
86%
Stable · last 24h
📊 170 bettors💎 6.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Nov 7🤖 Context
This market resolves yes if Kalshi finalizes the corresponding ticker with an official yes showing Anthropic's share of Vercel AI Gateway spend on November 6, 2026 is above 39.5%, using the Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards value observed at 10:00 AM ET on November 7, 2026. Kalshi has finalized that ticker and reports the official finalized result for November 6, 2026 as yes. Because Kalshi finalized the measurement with an official yes for that date, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES iff Kalshi ticker KXANTHVSPEND-06NOV26-T39P5 is shown by Kalshi as "finalized" with an official finalized result of YES for the Nov 6, 2026 measurement. Target instant/window: the Kalshi official finalized result for Nov 6, 2026 (Kalshi uses the Vercel Leaderboards value for Nov 6, 2026 as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 7, 2026). Observed value(s): Kalshi official status = finalized; Official finalized result = YES. Comparison: the official finalized result is YES, which satisfies the market's YES condition, so the market resolves YES.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 86%
- Predictions made
- 170
- Credits staked
- 6,451
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Nov 5, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 8, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the current spend share and trends, it's unlikely that Anthropic will exceed 39.5% by November 6. Expect a NO on this one.
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