🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 10 · Results Nov 11
Will Amazon be one of the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?
97%
Stable · last 24h
1435 bets · 60.9K credits25
Details →
TechOpened Nov 4 · Results Nov 6
Will the open-weights share of open vs closed token volume be above 62.3% on Nov 5?
26%
Stable · last 24h
📊 337 bettors💎 16.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Nov 6🤖 Context
The market required Kalshi to finalize ticker KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26NOV06-T62.3 with an official yes based on the Open Weights percentage for November 5, 2026 as observed at 10:00 AM Eastern on November 6, 2026. Kalshi has finalized that ticker and its official result is no. Because the official result was not yes, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No26%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi finalizes ticker KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26NOV06-T62.3 with an official YES; otherwise it resolves NO. Target/instant: Kalshi's finalization (Kalshi uses the Vercel Open Weights percentage for Nov 5, 2026 observed at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 6, 2026). Observed value(s): From the supplied Kalshi data for KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26NOV06-T62.3 — Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: Kalshi's official finalized result is NO (not YES), so per the market rule the resolved outcome is NO.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 26%
- Predictions made
- 337
- Credits staked
- 16,061
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Nov 4, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 6, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
See all →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 10
Will Alibaba or its Qwen team admit Qwen tried to send a file to Beijing?
20%
-10% last 24h
703 bets · 26.2K credits5
Details →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 13 · Results Nov 14
Will Apple list the HomeView smart display for purchase or pre-order in at least one EU country?
46%
Stable · last 24h
665 bets · 25.1K credits8
Details →🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 10 · Results Nov 11
Will NVIDIA have a strictly larger market cap than Apple?
14%
-6% last 24h
633 bets · 26.1K credits6
Details →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 30
Will the June 18 OpenAI agent incident be referred to Australia's federal police or prompt a criminal investigation?
29%
Stable · last 24h
391 bets · 15.8K credits4
Details →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 27
Will Apple file a formal administrative appeal or request for reconsideration with South Korea's KMCC?
31%
Stable · last 24h
381 bets · 13K credits2
Details →