🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
64%
+8% last 24h
681 bets · 23.8K credits11
Details →Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
78/115
right calls
27
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 23
64%
Yes
Open questions27
📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Android 18 be announced?
75%
Stable · last 24h
477 bets · 13.7K credits6
Details →📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Nov 1
Will the Fitbit Air Metal Mesh band start shipping to US customers?
31%
Stable · last 24h
424 bets · 8.1K credits1
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🎥People·CreatorsCloses Nov 1
Will MrBeast post on his official YouTube channel a public video that promotes Google's "Gemini" or is marked as a paid promotion for Google/Gemini?
54%
Stable · last 24h
418 bets · 7.9K credits2
Details →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 1
Will the 'CC' family AI be available to all U.S. personal Gmail users without a waitlist or invitation?
55%
Stable · last 24h
408 bets · 8.2K credits2
Details →- Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?Closes Nov 1406 predictions41%Yes
- Will the open-source bug bounty program Google froze on Oct 4, 2026 be resumed?Closes Nov 5362 predictions47%Yes
- Will YouTube remove the visible dislike button from the main video controls on desktop for all users?Closes Nov 21 · Results Nov 22353 predictions11%Yes
- Will Gemini be the top AI on Oct 31?Closes Oct 31332 predictions59%Yes
- Will Google Assistant no longer be available on Google Nest and Google Home smart speakers and displays?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1282 predictions26%Yes
- Will the Pixel phone support page default to the AI 'Ask Google Help' chatbot?Closes Dec 1268 predictions76%Yes
- Will the Fitbit Edge be available to buy on October 27?Closes Oct 27219 predictions92%Yes
How it turned out115
- Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will Google officially announce or list a consumer product called "Pixel Tag"?Yes
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 1 - Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 1 - Will Google's AI Studio Android app be available to download in the US Play Store?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 31 - Will any Google Pixel 11-series model be available for immediate purchase on Aug 20?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21 - Will the Google Pixel 11 Pro Fold be available to buy in the US on August 20?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 20 - Will a major consumer platform experience a significant cyberattack before August 15, 2026?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19 - Will the Pixel 11 Pro list "HiLight active" as a feature on August 12?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will the US Google more video games than the weather on August 11?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will France Google politics more than the weather on August 11?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14