Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

86%
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54%
Stable · last 24h
YES if on August 20, 2026 the Google Store US product page or the Amazon.com US or BestBuy.com US product pages show the Pixel 11 Pro Fold available to purchase (for example an "Add to cart" / "Buy now" button or an "In stock" status that allows immediate checkout). Mainstream US retail pages or major tech outlets reporting the device was for sale in the US on that date are also acceptable evidence. NO if those pages do not show it available, or if Google publicly announces a postponement or cancellation of the US release on or before August 20, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only five days left, it's hard to believe Google will pull a last-minute surprise. Expect the Pixel 11 Pro Fold to be available as planned.

86%
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36%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
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