Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than October 31, 2026 there is a publicly accessible document (press release, blog post, or social‑media post with verifiable timestamp) that is jointly issued or co‑signed by OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet and that explicitly commits the signatories to coordinate on "pacing", a slowdown, or to shared limits on the rate of AI capability development. "Jointly issued or co‑signed" means the same text is published or reposted by each organisation's official channels with matching wording, or a single document lists all three organisations as co‑signers. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 406 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

41%

Predictions made

406

Credits staked

7,847

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 16, 2026

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

techcrunch.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 41% and NO 59%, based on 406 predictions and 7.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against techcrunch.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?” real-money betting?

No. “Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.