Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

88%
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59%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, at any time during the calendar date August 20, 2026 in the United States, at least one official Google Store US product page or a major US retailer's product page (for example Amazon, Best Buy, Verizon, AT&T, or T‑Mobile) lets you add any Pixel 11-series model to cart and complete a purchase for shipment to a US address or for same-day in-store pickup. Pages labeled only “pre-order”, “coming soon”, “notify me”, or that show ship dates after August 20, 2026 do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a few days left, the odds of the Pixel 11-series being available on August 20 are slim. Most retailers typically don’t launch models so close to their official reveal dates.

88%
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65%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

17%
Stable · last 24h
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