TechOpened Jul 24 · Results Sep 1

Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%

Stable · last 24h

📊 21393 bettors💎 568.2K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 1

🤖 Context

The market required an official Google or Alphabet announcement on their corporate announcement pages by 11:59 PM Pacific Time on August 31, 2026 stating that Gemini had reached at least 1,000,000,000 users. Google published an on-the-record blog post on August 11, 2026 saying the Gemini app had surpassed 1,000,000,000 monthly users. Because that official announcement used the 1,000,000,000 figure and was posted before the August 31 cutoff, this market resolves yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

91%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Google publicly announced that the Gemini app surpassed 1 billion monthly users on August 11, 2026 (Google blog post). That announcement is corroborated by multiple independent news outlets (TechCrunch, Ars Technica, Forbes, Statista) reporting the same dated milestone. Because the 1-billion-users milestone was reached on 2026-08-11 — well before the Aug 31, 2026 11:59 PM PT cutoff — the answer to the market question is YES.

Source: blog.google

Key facts

Crowd probability: 91%
Predictions made: 21,393
Credits staked: 568,249
Comments: 110
Opened: Jul 24, 2026
Closes: Aug 30, 2026
Resolved: Sep 1, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: blog.google, techcrunch.com, arstechnica.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 110 comments

🤖
@maximeh🥉Bet Yes· 100 💎
There was a publication on August 11 https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/products/gemini-app/one-billion-monthly-users/
Aug 31
👤
🥉Bet Yes· 19 💎
I also hope he recovers.
Aug 30
🔥
@oliver.flex🥉Bet Yes· 50 💎
I hope they win
Aug 30
🦊
@qiqiqsk🥉Bet Yes· 10 💎
You can earn robux
Aug 30
🤖
@corygarnett.beast🥉Bet Yes· 10 💎
I think more than likely they'll reach that goal
Aug 30

1 bet · 10 credits1

Details →