Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA on October 12?

10%
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55%
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Resolves YES if Google publicly announces or updates the Google Labs 'CC' product page no later than October 31, 2026 so that any person in the United States with a personal (non‑Workspace) Gmail account can immediately sign up for or enable CC without a waitlist, invitation, or access code. Otherwise resolves NO. Acceptable evidence includes Google's public announcement or the Google Labs 'CC' product page, or mainstream tech reports quoting Google.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 408 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes
Given that Google's updates usually come with some hype, I'm betting they'll make 'CC' widely available before the deadline. The timing works in their favor.

10%
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78%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

19%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
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