Will France Google politics more than the weather on August 11?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to Google Trends' trending-searches feed for France, the number of topics labeled "politics" is strictly greater than the number labeled "the weather" among topics that started trending during the UTC day August 11, 2026 (between 00:00 and 23:59:59 UTC). Use Google's subject-category labels and each topic's listed start time to assign the UTC day, and do not count topics without a subject-category label that day. An exact tie is NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against trends.google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 24%, based on 119 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

24%

Predictions made

119

Credits staked

3,678

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

trends.google.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 24% and NO 76%, based on 119 predictions and 3.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against trends.google.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France Google politics more than the weather on August 11?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France Google politics more than the weather on August 11?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.