Will France’s government begin migrating at least 500,000 civil servant workstations to Linux by end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if, by 31 December 2026, an official government statement or report confirms that at least 500 000 workstations used by civil servants have been migrated from Windows (or other proprietary OS) to Linux. NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against reddit.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 18 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

45%

Predictions made

18

Credits staked

172

Comments

0

Opened

May 24, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

reddit.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 45% and NO 55%, based on 18 predictions and 172 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against reddit.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France’s government begin migrating at least 500,000 civil servant workstations to Linux by end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France’s government begin migrating at least 500,000 civil servant workstations to Linux by end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.