🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
947 bets · 33.2K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Oct 18 · Results Oct 23
Will France declare a nationwide state of emergency or order the military to help police the country over the Oct 17 protests?
34%
Stable · last 24h
📊 2674 bettors💎 116.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 23🤖 Context
YES if, between 20:31 UTC on October 18, 2026 and no later than October 22, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the French government declared a nationwide state of emergency by official decree or legislation, or issued an official national order to deploy the French armed forces for domestic policing nationwide in response to the Oct 17 protests. Otherwise NO. • Two or more independent, authoritative news outlets must report the action during that timeframe. • Local increased police deployments, local curfews, or municipal emergency measures do not count. • Source: independent authoritative news outlets (e.g. Reuters, BBC).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes34%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Curfews implemented by certain prefects but state of emergency not declared for the moment
Source: publicsenat.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 34%
- Predictions made
- 2,674
- Credits staked
- 116,098
- Comments
- 60
- Opened
- Oct 18, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- publicsenat.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 60 comments
- 💃
I disagree with the resolution on 'yes', we are talking about last weekend's protests, not this weekend. Yes, the army is called to defend the buildings this weekend, but that wasn't the case during the last protests that concern this bet.
- 🦊
I disagree with the resolution, the army has been called in to support the protests planned for this weekend. So for me, the resolution should be yes.
- 💀
Jupiter wants to stay in place for years, but he won't dare right away: he wants more chaos and is waiting for there to be deaths. After that, he will do it!
- 🐼
Yes, 1000 soldiers to protect state buildings. The problem is that they are neither equipped nor trained for maintaining order.
- 🥂
The Reuters agency reported that the French government will deploy troops to reinforce the police following the violence of the protests on October 17. At the same time, the media outlet The European published an article confirming that France is calling on the army. So YES!
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