France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
How it turned out393
- Will Google searches in France be more about politics than the weather on August 5?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 6 - Will the French box office see an increase in admissions in July 2026?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will at least one metropolitan French département be on orange or red alert for a heatwave on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Chantal Bouloux be shown as the deputy for Hervé Berville's seat in the French National Assembly?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will France do more Google searches for video games than for the weather on August 4?No
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will anyone in France be more googled than Kavinsky on August 4 in the entertainment, celebrity and gaming category?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will the Gironde megafire's burned area exceed 50,000 hectares?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Marine Le Pen lead Édouard Philippe in the national first-round poll on August 5, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will any metropolitan French département be on orange or red heatwave alert on August 3?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will fewer than 20 metropolitan departments be orange for heatwave on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4