France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
14%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will "Le fondateur" be in Edistat's top 5 on November 6?Results Nov 6119 predictions36%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon's Saint‑Denis rally on June 7, 2026 draw over 10,000 attendees?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 8 - Will France register 10 or more heat-related deaths between May 30 and June 5, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 8 - Will the mixed commission on end‑of‑life reform reach agreement by June 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 8 - Will 'Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu' exceed 600,000 admissions in France by end of its opening week?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 7 - Will the French National Assembly vote the ‘state of national security alert’ provision into law by June 5, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 7 - Will France’s composite PMI for June flash above 50 indicating expansion?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 6 - Will The xx perform in France during We Love Green 2026 (June 5–7)?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 6 - Will a French player reach the men’s singles quarterfinals at Roland‑Garros 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 4 - Will France record a temperature of at least 38 °C anywhere before June 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 3 - Will any amateur running event in France scheduled for May 30–31 be officially canceled due to the heatwave?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 1