France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
288/387
right calls
48
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
16%
Yes
Open questions48
- Will Édouard Philippe publicly commit to take part in a right/centre primary for France's 2027 presidential election?Closes Dec 31285 predictions44%Yes
- Will Bally Bagayoko be formally charged over alleged incitement linked to lycée blockages?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 2272 predictions31%Yes
- Will right‑and‑centre parties announce and set a joint primary date to pick one 2027 presidential candidate?Closes Dec 24 · Results Dec 26270 predictions14%Yes
- Will any police officer be formally charged over the Marseille incident where a student was hurt in a CRS charge?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1262 predictions63%Yes
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon be formally investigated for complicity in the October 17, 2026 violence?Closes Jan 31 · Results Feb 1251 predictions16%Yes
- Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?Closes Nov 1 · Results Nov 2237 predictions29%Yes
- Will an interim order suspend enforcement of the Lyon court's annulment of the Vénissieux municipal election?Closes Oct 27 · Results Oct 28202 predictions27%Yes
- Will France allocate at least €50,000,000 to "communes rurales"?Closes Nov 30197 predictions41%Yes
- Will the Switch 2 'The Legend of Zelda' 40th‑anniversary limited edition be listed for sale or pre‑order in France?Closes Nov 30187 predictions93%Yes
- Will France publish a national autism strategy?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1162 predictions35%Yes
- Will Edouard Philippe meet Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau and François Bayrou together in one meeting?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 1149 predictions47%Yes
- Will the Assemblée nationale's commission d'enquête hold its first public hearing?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16140 predictions66%Yes
How it turned out387
- Will at least one metropolitan French département be on orange or red alert for thunderstorms on 29 September?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 30 - Will France google France Gall more than Greg Guillotin on September 29?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 30 - Nations League: Will Belgium vs France reach full-time on 28 September?Yes
The crowd was 98% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Andy Diouf start for France against Belgium?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 29 - UEFA Nations League: Will Ousmane Dembélé be in France's starting XI at kickoff against Belgium?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 29 - Will at least one metropolitan French département, coastal zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll-up be at orange or red for thunderstorms on September 28?No
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Nations League: Will Désiré Doué start for France against Belgium?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Nations League: will France be listed as the winner of Belgium vs France?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will at least one confirmed tornado occur in metropolitan France and be published by Keraunos?No
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Will France google Cindy Crawford more than Pierre Arditi on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28